Predicting what the Steelers’ offense will look like in 2025
There are 11 Sundays standing between us and Week 1 in the NFL, where the Pittsburgh Steelers will host the New York Jets. As we continue the countdown and get closer to kickoff, it feels like an opportune time to put my name on a handful of predictions and projections.
Quick disclaimer – there is no science or formula behind my stat predictions. It’s an estimation based on what we already know each player is capable of, and what they could become in 2025. With that said, let’s get into it.
QB Aaron Rodgers
- 3,984 yards
- 24 touchdowns
- 9 interceptions
- 67 % completions
Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images
Rodgers’ completion percentage should go up in 2025 with a better offensive line in front of him, as well as a better group of weapons. An average of 234 passing yards per game feels very doable, as well, which would see his yards increase from 2024. If he is able to put up a statline in this ballpark, Pittsburgh will win a good amount of games.
Running backs
- Jaylen Warren: 210 carries, 966 yards, 5 touchdowns – 47 catches, 392 yards, 2 touchdowns
- Kaleb Johnson: 175 carries, 770 yards, 3 touchdowns – 14 catches, 102 yards, 1 touchdown
- Kenneth Gainwell: 45 carries, 182 yards, 1 touchdown – 11 catches, 86 yards, 1 touchdown
Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images
Warren will begin the season as the RB1 and get the majority of carries, but as the season goes on, Johnson will begin to see more touches. It may not look remarkable from a projections standpoint, but I fully expect him to split carries by season’s end and be the No. 1 on the depth chart in 2026.
Wide receivers and tight ends
Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images
- DK Metcalf: 77 catches, 1,124 yards, 8 touchdowns
- Pat Freiermuth: 63 catches, 613 yards, 6 touchdowns
- Calvin Austin: 39 catches, 583 yards, 3 touchdowns
- Roman Wilson: 31 catches, 331 yards, 2 touchdowns
- Robert Woods: 21 catches, 214 yards
- Darnell Washington: 20 catches, 190 yards, 1 touchdown
- Ben Skowronek: 18 catches, 198 yards
- Scotty Miller: 14 catches, 151 yards
Metcalf is going to have a great year, and 77 catches would be the most he’s had since 2022. He’ll have his deep looks, but he is a physical specimen that will be relied on to catch those underneath passes and get a few extra yards on them.
Freiermuth will be his consistent self. He had 65 catches a season ago, and I expect more of the same in 2025 as Rodgers’ safety blanket. Calvin Austin and Roman Wilson will combine for the production of a No. 2 wideout. I’m not going to make any sort of outlandish predictions when it comes to Wilson until I see what he does on the field – this feels like a safe ground between floor and ceiling.
Robert Woods will be a better version Van Jefferson, which is what he was brought in to be. I’d love to say Darnell Washington will be a bigger part of the passing game, but we’ve all been saying that for two seasons now – until I see it, I won’t expect it. Skowronek and Miller will get occasional targets, but are depth pieces more than anything.
I fully expect the Steelers’ offense to be